Scope of activities

The YOPP missions is to enable a significant improvement in environmental prediction capabilities for the Polar Regions and beyond, by coordinating a period of intensive observing, modelling, verification, user-engagement and education activities. The Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) is one of the key elements of the Polar Prediction Project.

The major YOPP task is to “cover an extended period of coordinated intensive observational and modelling activities in order to improve polar prediction capabilities on a wide range of time scales in both Polar Regions.” The other important task is to “foster relationships with partners, provide common focussed objectives, and be held over a bit more than a one-year period in association with a field campaign providing additional observations.” The YOPP is implemented in three different stages: a preparation phase (2013–2017), YOPP itself (mid-2017–mid-2019), and a consolidation phase (2019–2022).

The major goal of this FAMOS-2 theme is to identify and recommend for YOPP a set of arctic regional coupled ice-ocean models suitable for YOPP objectives and task in order to reduce uncertainties in operational atmospheric, sea ice and ocean conditions forecasting.

In this sense, FAMOS-2 via working with YOPP will contribute to the major goals of the WMO Polar Prediction Project to establish and apply verification methods appropriate for polar regions; Provide guidance on optimizing polar observing systems, and coordinate additional observations to support modelling and verification; Improve representation of key processes in models of the polar atmosphere, land, ocean and cryosphere; Determine predictability and identify key sources of forecast errors in polar regions. This work is at planning stage now and concrete work scope will be posted at project website after 2016 annual meeting.

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Contact Andrey Proshutinsky, Senior Scientist, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution at